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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Gimcheon Sangmu FC edge out FC Anyang 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Gimcheon Sangmu FC beat FC Anyang 1-0 at Gimcheon Stadium, Regular Season - 20, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.15 xG and FC Anyang 0.88 xG, a combined 2.03. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. FC Anyang landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack 0.87 / defence 0.74 against FC Anyang attack 1.00 / defence 1.15, drawn from 52/19 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41% | Draw 33% | FC Anyang 27%, with Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win its most likely call at 41%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 33%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights