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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Pohang Steelers cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Suwon City FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Pohang Steelers beat Suwon City FC 2-0 at Pohang Steel Yard, Regular Season - 13, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Pohang Steelers 1.17 xG and Suwon City FC 0.72 xG, a combined 1.89. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Pohang Steelers beat their projection by 0.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Pohang Steelers attack 0.90 / defence 0.97 against Suwon City FC attack 0.73 / defence 1.07, drawn from 45/45 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Pohang Steelers 46% | Draw 31% | Suwon City FC 23%, with Pohang Steelers to win its most likely call at 46%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 29%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 56% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 35% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Pohang Steelers 43%, Suwon City FC 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Pohang Steelers's trading profile (76 games, 39 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Suwon City FC's trading profile (76 games, 39 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Pohang Steelers 1.54 PPG, Suwon City FC 1.16 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Pohang Steelers win broke the near-deadlock. Pohang Steelers (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.03 average — tighter than their form line. Suwon City FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.15 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights