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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Pohang Steelers's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Pohang Steel Yard, Championship Group - 37, as Pohang Steelers and Jeonbuk Motors drew 0-0 in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Pohang Steelers 1.12 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.51 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Pohang Steelers fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Jeonbuk Motors landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Pohang Steelers attack 0.93 / defence 1.09 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.13 / defence 0.80, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Pohang Steelers 27% | Draw 27% | Jeonbuk Motors 45%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 45%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 75% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Pohang Steelers 46%, Jeonbuk Motors 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Pohang Steelers's trading profile (74 games, 36 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (74 games, 36 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Pohang Steelers 1.46 PPG, Jeonbuk Motors 1.64 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Pohang Steelers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.08 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.17 average — tighter than their form line. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.39 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.19 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights