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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Pohang Steelers's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Pohang Steelers and Daegu FC finished level at 0-0 at Pohang Steel Yard, Regular Season - 3, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Pohang Steelers 1.12 xG and Daegu FC 1.44 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Pohang Steelers fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Daegu FC landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Pohang Steelers attack 0.84 / defence 1.15 against Daegu FC attack 1.01 / defence 0.97, drawn from 35/35 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Pohang Steelers 29% | Draw 26% | Daegu FC 44%, with Daegu FC to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Pohang Steelers 43%, Daegu FC 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Pohang Steelers's trading profile (76 games, 38 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Daegu FC's trading profile (76 games, 38 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Pohang Steelers 1.54 PPG, Daegu FC 1.25 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Pohang Steelers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.34 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Daegu FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.03 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.39 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights