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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jeonbuk Motors cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Suwon City FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Suwon City FC 2-0 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 33, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 2.14 xG and Suwon City FC 1.45 xG, a combined 3.59. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Suwon City FC landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.12 / defence 0.84 against Suwon City FC attack 1.39 / defence 1.34, drawn from 65/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 53% | Draw 22% | Suwon City FC 25%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 70%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 48% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 68% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 56%, Suwon City FC 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (70 games, 35 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Suwon City FC's trading profile (70 games, 35 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jeonbuk Motors 1.63 PPG, Suwon City FC 1.30 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.23 average — tighter than their form line. Suwon City FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.37 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights