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Jeonbuk Motors vs Seoul E-Land FC – Predictions

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Sun 8 Dec 2024

05:25

Venue

Jeonju World Cup Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

🧮 Model Insight

How the Model Works This Match

Jeonbuk Motors's attacking strength (0.95x league average) is weighed against Seoul E-Land FC's defensive record (1.15x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.60. The same calculation in reverse, Seoul E-Land FC's attack versus Jeonbuk Motors's defence, projects 1.08 expected goals for the visitors.

These ratings are built from 66/0 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.

Most Likely Scorelines

The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.4%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.5%), 1-0 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.

Most Likely Outcome

Jeonbuk Motors Win

49%

Jeonbuk Motors

2.02

25%

Draw

4.01

26%

Seoul E-Land FC

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Jeonbuk Motors xG

Total xG

2.68

1.08

Seoul E-Land FC xG

49%
25%
26%
Jeonbuk MotorsDrawSeoul E-Land FC

2.02

49%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

34%

Jeonbuk Motors

2.94

20%

Seoul E-Land FC

4.95

Win to Nil

17%

Jeonbuk Motors

5.93

5%

Seoul E-Land FC

19.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.4 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 11.9 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.600
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.677
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.233
Jeonbuk Motors attack strength 0.954
Jeonbuk Motors defence strength 1.027
Seoul E-Land FC attack strength 0.850
Seoul E-Land FC defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 0

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most likely scoreline for Jeonbuk Motors vs Seoul E-Land FC?

Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.4%.

How many goals are Jeonbuk Motors and Seoul E-Land FC expected to score?

The model projects 1.60 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.08 for Seoul E-Land FC, a combined total of 2.68.

How confident is the prediction model for Jeonbuk Motors vs Seoul E-Land FC?

Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.