Jeonbuk Motors vs Seoul E-Land FC – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Jeonbuk Motors's attacking strength (0.95x league average) is weighed against Seoul E-Land FC's defensive record (1.15x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.60. The same calculation in reverse, Seoul E-Land FC's attack versus Jeonbuk Motors's defence, projects 1.08 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 66/0 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.4%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.5%), 1-0 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
49%
2.02
25%
4.01
26%
3.91
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 β 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 β 0
11.0%
Home win
2 β 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Total xG
2.68
1.08
Seoul E-Land FC xG
2.02
49%
Home win
4.01
25%
Draw
3.91
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
34%
2.94
20%
4.95
Win to Nil
17%
5.93
5%
19.36
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Jeonbuk Motors vs Seoul E-Land FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.4%.
How many goals are Jeonbuk Motors and Seoul E-Land FC expected to score?
The model projects 1.60 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.08 for Seoul E-Land FC, a combined total of 2.68.
How confident is the prediction model for Jeonbuk Motors vs Seoul E-Land FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.