🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Jeonbuk Motors cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Gangwon FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Gangwon FC 2-0 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 23, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.39 xG and Gangwon FC 1.20 xG, a combined 2.59. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Gangwon FC landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.26 / defence 0.98 against Gangwon FC attack 0.97 / defence 0.87, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 40% | Draw 28% | Gangwon FC 31%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 40%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 57%, Gangwon FC 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not.

Gangwon FC's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jeonbuk Motors 1.57 PPG, Gangwon FC 1.55 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line. Gangwon FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.10 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights