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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jeonbuk Motors and FC Seoul share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors and FC Seoul finished level at 1-1 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 20, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.09 xG and FC Seoul 1.07 xG, a combined 2.15. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.38 / defence 1.01 against FC Seoul attack 0.88 / defence 0.70, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 35% | Draw 31% | FC Seoul 34%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 45%, FC Seoul 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (76 games, 38 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did.

FC Seoul's trading profile (76 games, 38 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jeonbuk Motors 1.37 PPG, FC Seoul 1.49 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights