Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 FC Anyang – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors at 34% — the head-to-head data provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Jeonju World Cup Stadium plays host to Jeonbuk Motors versus FC Anyang in K League 1 (matchday 4). Kick-off: Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 10:30 UK time.
Form
Jeonbuk Motors (all games): 4W 4D 2L across their last 10 — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L D W D W. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Jeonbuk Motors's form when playing at home: 7W 1D 2L across their last 10 home games (2.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 2.20 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.60 — Jeonbuk Motors are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
FC Anyang have collected 1.60 PPG across their last 10 games: 4W 4D 2L. Last five: L W W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 0.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
FC Anyang's form when playing away from home: 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 road games (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 0.90 is notably below their overall 1.60 — form away from home has been a clear weakness recently.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.60 PPG for Jeonbuk Motors against 1.60 for FC Anyang. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (from Jeonbuk Motors's last 10 home games and FC Anyang's last 10 away games) — Jeonbuk Motors have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, FC Anyang in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record in our data favours Jeonbuk Motors, who have won 3 of the 3 H2H matches we hold against FC Anyang — FC Anyang have 0 wins, with 0 draws. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 3 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 8 Aug 2025, ended Jeonbuk Motors 2–1 FC Anyang — a Jeonbuk Motors win.
The head-to-head data gives Jeonbuk Motors an edge — 3 wins from 3 H2H matches is worth weighing, particularly if the form picture is inconclusive.
Trading
Jeonbuk Motors half-time and goal-timing data (last 38 games, 19 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 74% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; of the 5 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 60%; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (home games).
FC Anyang half-time and goal-timing data (last 38 games, 19 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 68% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; of the 10 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 30%; of the 12 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 25%; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Jeonbuk Motors 55% versus FC Anyang 60%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Jeonbuk Motors 50% | FC Anyang 55%). Note also that FC Anyang surrender HT leads in 30% of cases while Jeonbuk Motors recover from half-time deficits to draw or win 60% of the time — a dynamic that could influence in-play positioning.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Jeonbuk Motors 1.35 xG and FC Anyang 1.33 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.101 / defence 1.137 | FC Anyang attack 0.926 / defence 0.921. League average goals — home 1.333 / away 1.267. Data: built from Jeonbuk Motors's last 36 games and FC Anyang's last 36. Some of those games are older results, so treat these probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 34% | Draw 33% | FC Anyang 33%. Fair-value odds: Jeonbuk Motors 2.96 | Draw 3.01 | FC Anyang 3.04. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 33% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 50% | BTTS Yes probability 58% | Total xG 2.69. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 50%/50% — the total xG of 2.69 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 58% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors as the most likely outcome at 34% — marginal model lean. The head-to-head data (Jeonbuk Motors 3 wins from 3 H2H matches) corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 33% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Jeonbuk Motors if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.69 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 50% — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 58% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Jeonbuk Motors 60% (last 10 home games) | FC Anyang 60% (last 10 away games).
The Poisson model's sample (Jeonbuk Motors 36 games, FC Anyang 36) includes some older results, so its projections carry extra uncertainty — weight recent form and the odds accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang | Competition: K League 1, matchday 4 | Venue: Jeonju World Cup Stadium • Kick-off: Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 10:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 34% | Draw 33% | FC Anyang 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 50% (Under 50%) | BTTS Yes 58% (No 42%) | xG Jeonbuk Motors 1.35 / FC Anyang 1.33 • Poisson strength factors: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.101 / def 1.137 | FC Anyang attack 0.926 / def 0.921 | league avg home 1.333 / away 1.267 • Poisson stance: Jeonbuk Motors (34%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.35
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Expected Goals
1.33
FC Anyang xG
58%
BTTS
79%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang FAQs
What time does Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang kick off?
Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang kicked off at 10:30 UK time on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What was the final score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Jeonbuk Motors 2 - 1 FC Anyang.
Where is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang being played?
The match is being played at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What competition is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang part of?
Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang is a K League 1 fixture (matchday 4) (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our statistical model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 34% chance of winning, FC Anyang a 33% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw — making Jeonbuk Motors the favourite.
Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 50% — effectively a coin flip.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Jeonbuk Motors's attack rating (1.10) and FC Anyang's defence rating (0.92), the model arrives at 1.35 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — FC Anyang's attack (0.93x) against Jeonbuk Motors's defence (1.14x) — and the away total comes out at 1.33.
These ratings are built from Jeonbuk Motors's last 36 games and FC Anyang's last 36, a sample that still includes some older results.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.9%. Close behind: 0-0 (8.4%), 2-1 (8.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
34%
2.96
33%
3.01
33%
3.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
0 – 1
9.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.35
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Total xG
2.69
1.33
FC Anyang xG
2.96
34%
Home win
3.01
33%
Draw
3.04
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.40
Clean Sheet
26%
3.79
26%
3.87
Win to Nil
9%
11.22
9%
11.74
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.3 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.9%.
How many goals are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang expected to score?
The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.33 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.69.
How confident is the prediction model for Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 34%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 38 outings, Jeonbuk Motors have picked up 2.08 PPG on a 23W 10D 5L record — L-D-W-D-W across the most recent five.
FC Anyang's form line: 14W 7D 17L from 38 games, 1.29 PPG, last five L-W-W-L-D.
Put side by side, Jeonbuk Motors are the form team by 0.79 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against FC Anyang.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Jeonbuk Motors have posted 2.00 PPG from their last 19 home games (11W 5D 3L).
On the road, FC Anyang have gone 6W 3D 10L from their last 19 away games — 1.11 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Jeonbuk Motors come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Jeonbuk Motors are averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game recently; FC Anyang are on 1.29 scored and 1.24 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Anyang in 61%.
Defensively: Jeonbuk Motors have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 38 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Jeonbuk Motors
Current Season
FC Anyang
Current Season
Jeonbuk Motors (Home) vs FC Anyang (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Jeonbuk Motors
Current Season
FC Anyang
Current Season
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang Form FAQs
What form are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang in coming into this match?
Jeonbuk Motors have gone 23W 10D 5L in their last 38 games (2.08 PPG), while FC Anyang have gone 14W 7D 17L in their last 38 (1.29 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Jeonbuk Motors at home or FC Anyang away?
Jeonbuk Motors's home record (2.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Jeonbuk Motors at home: 2.00 PPG; FC Anyang away: 1.11 PPG.
Have Jeonbuk Motors or FC Anyang been keeping clean sheets recently?
Jeonbuk Motors have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their recent games, FC Anyang in 16%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 6 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to March 2025 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in K League 1. The most recent was as recently as 24 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
The most recent 2 H2H matches in our data have all been drawn — an unusually settled run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 3W 0D 0L from the 3 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against FC Anyang — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
4
Jeonbuk Motors
2
Draws
0
FC Anyang
Recent Meetings
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, Jeonbuk Motors have won 4, FC Anyang have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 24 October 2026: FC Anyang 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Who has won more matches between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Jeonbuk Motors are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 42% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 25% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 67% of those situations.
FC Anyang are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 37% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 43% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 68% for Jeonbuk Motors, 63% for FC Anyang — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 58% (Jeonbuk Motors) and 58% (FC Anyang). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 37% and 10% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: FC Anyang in 26%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Jeonbuk Motors home games / FC Anyang away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 68% of Jeonbuk Motors's games and 63% of FC Anyang's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 58% of Jeonbuk Motors's matches and 58% of FC Anyang's.
Do Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 74% of Jeonbuk Motors's recent matches and 68% of FC Anyang's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Jeonbuk Motors edge out FC Anyang 2-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors beat FC Anyang 2-1 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 4, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.35 xG and FC Anyang 1.33 xG, a combined 2.69. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.10 / defence 1.14 against FC Anyang attack 0.93 / defence 0.92, drawn from 36/36 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 34% | Draw 33% | FC Anyang 33%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 34%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 50%, FC Anyang 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and conceded here.
FC Anyang's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Jeonbuk Motors arrived the stronger side — 2.08 PPG against 1.29. That form edge translated into the three points.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.