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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Jeonbuk Motors edge out FC Anyang 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat FC Anyang 2-1 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 25, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.88 xG and FC Anyang 0.89 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.25 / defence 0.88 against FC Anyang attack 0.78 / defence 1.14, drawn from 57/24 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 61% | Draw 22% | FC Anyang 17%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 61%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 50%, FC Anyang 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (24 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

FC Anyang's trading profile (24 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Jeonbuk Motors arrived the stronger side — 2.25 PPG against 1.12. That form edge translated into the three points.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights