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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jeonbuk Motors cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Daegu FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Daegu FC 3-1 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 9, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.51 xG and Daegu FC 1.14 xG, a combined 2.65. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Jeonbuk Motors beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.05 / defence 1.12 against Daegu FC attack 0.92 / defence 1.24, drawn from 41/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 46% | Draw 26% | Daegu FC 29%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. Over 3.5 was 28% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 45%, Daegu FC 45%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (78 games, 39 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did.

Daegu FC's trading profile (78 games, 39 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jeonbuk Motors 1.35 PPG, Daegu FC 1.23 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.41 average — above their attacking norm. Daegu FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.44 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights