Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Jeju United FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Suwon Bluewings.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeju United FC beat Suwon Bluewings 2-0 at Jeju World Cup Stadium, Final, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeju United FC 1.63 xG and Suwon Bluewings 1.11 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Suwon Bluewings landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeju United FC attack 0.94 / defence 1.07 against Suwon Bluewings attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 66/0 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Jeju United FC 48% | Draw 26% | Suwon Bluewings 25%, with Jeju United FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 0% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeju United FC 0%, Suwon Bluewings 0%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Form vs Result
On form, Jeju United FC arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. Form held, and they took the win. Jeju United FC scored 2 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm. Suwon Bluewings shipped 2 against a 1.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.