Most Likely Outcome
Pohang Steelers Win
22%
4.51
32%
3.12
46%
2.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.3%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
0 – 0
11.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.84
Jeju United FC xG
Total xG
2.14
1.31
Pohang Steelers xG
Jeju United FCDrawPohang Steelers
4.51
22%
Home win
3.12
32%
Draw
2.19
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.32
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
27%
3.69
43%
2.31
Win to Nil
6%
16.66
20%
5.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 15.3 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.838
λ Away (xG)
1.306
Total xG
2.144
League avg home goals
1.021
League avg away goals
1.225
Jeju United FC attack strength
0.840
Jeju United FC defence strength
0.903
Pohang Steelers attack strength
1.181
Pohang Steelers defence strength
0.977
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50