Most Likely Outcome
Jeju United FC Win
39%
2.60
30%
3.36
32%
3.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.43
Jeju United FC xG
Total xG
2.72
1.29
Gwangju FC xG
Jeju United FCDrawGwangju FC
2.60
39%
Home win
3.36
30%
Draw
3.15
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.75
43%
BTTS No
2.33
Clean Sheet
28%
3.62
24%
4.20
Win to Nil
11%
9.40
8%
13.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.1 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.434
λ Away (xG)
1.286
Total xG
2.720
League avg home goals
1.525
League avg away goals
1.378
Jeju United FC attack strength
0.983
Jeju United FC defence strength
1.009
Gwangju FC attack strength
0.925
Gwangju FC defence strength
0.956
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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