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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jeju United FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Seoul.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeju United FC beat FC Seoul 2-0 at Jeju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeju United FC 1.35 xG and FC Seoul 1.31 xG, a combined 2.67. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC Seoul landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeju United FC attack 0.97 / defence 1.00 against FC Seoul attack 0.99 / defence 0.99, drawn from 33/33 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeju United FC 38% | Draw 26% | FC Seoul 36%, with Jeju United FC to win its most likely call at 38%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeju United FC 46%, FC Seoul 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeju United FC's trading profile (76 games, 38 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.

FC Seoul's trading profile (76 games, 38 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jeju United FC 1.18 PPG, FC Seoul 1.49 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeju United FC win broke the near-deadlock. Jeju United FC (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.11 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.16 average — tighter than their form line. FC Seoul (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.47 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights