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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jeju United FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Anyang.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeju United FC beat FC Anyang 2-0 at Jeju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 22, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeju United FC 1.18 xG and FC Anyang 1.11 xG, a combined 2.29. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Jeju United FC beat their projection by 0.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. FC Anyang landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeju United FC attack 0.88 / defence 1.00 against FC Anyang attack 0.90 / defence 1.11, drawn from 54/21 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jeju United FC 37% | Draw 31% | FC Anyang 33%, with Jeju United FC to win its most likely call at 37%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeju United FC 43%, FC Anyang 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jeju United FC's trading profile (21 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not.

FC Anyang's trading profile (21 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jeju United FC 1.10 PPG, FC Anyang 1.14 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeju United FC win broke the near-deadlock. Jeju United FC (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.10 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.30 average — tighter than their form line. FC Anyang (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.10 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights