Most Likely Outcome
Incheon United Win
52%
1.92
29%
3.41
19%
5.34
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
2 – 0
11.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
Incheon United xG
Total xG
2.26
0.79
Gwangju FC xG
Incheon UnitedDrawGwangju FC
1.92
52%
Home win
3.41
29%
Draw
5.34
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.30
56%
BTTS No
1.77
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
23%
4.37
Win to Nil
24%
4.24
4%
23.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.3 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.3 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.474
λ Away (xG)
0.790
Total xG
2.264
League avg home goals
1.013
League avg away goals
1.254
Incheon United attack strength
0.829
Incheon United defence strength
1.059
Gwangju FC attack strength
0.595
Gwangju FC defence strength
1.754
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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