Most Likely Outcome
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win
22%
4.56
36%
2.79
42%
2.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Incheon United xG
Total xG
2.24
1.32
Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
Incheon UnitedDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
4.56
22%
Home win
2.79
36%
Draw
2.37
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
27%
3.75
40%
2.49
Win to Nil
6%
17.10
17%
5.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 12.9 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.913
λ Away (xG)
1.322
Total xG
2.235
League avg home goals
1.219
League avg away goals
1.010
Incheon United attack strength
0.855
Incheon United defence strength
1.432
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength
0.914
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength
0.876
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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