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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

08:30

Venue

Gwangju Football Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win

36%

Gwangju FC

2.75

25%

Draw

3.97

38%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Gwangju FC xG

Total xG

2.81

1.43

Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG

36%
25%
38%
Gwangju FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC

2.75

36%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

24%

Gwangju FC

4.17

25%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

3.99

Win to Nil

9%

Gwangju FC

11.45

10%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

10.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.6 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.3 11.9 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.2 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.7 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.427
Total xG 2.810
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.024
Gwangju FC attack strength 1.001
Gwangju FC defence strength 1.056
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength 1.320
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength 1.106
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44