Most Likely Outcome
Pohang Steelers Win
21%
4.70
26%
3.86
53%
1.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.7%
Draw
0 – 2
10.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.96
Gwangju FC xG
Total xG
2.61
1.65
Pohang Steelers xG
Gwangju FCDrawPohang Steelers
4.70
21%
Home win
3.86
26%
Draw
1.90
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.98
49%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
19%
5.19
38%
2.61
Win to Nil
4%
24.38
20%
4.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.961
λ Away (xG)
1.647
Total xG
2.608
League avg home goals
1.090
League avg away goals
1.231
Gwangju FC attack strength
0.855
Gwangju FC defence strength
1.231
Pohang Steelers attack strength
1.088
Pohang Steelers defence strength
1.031
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49