🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Jeonbuk Motors run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Gangwon FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Gangwon FC 0-3 at Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Regular Season - 18, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Gangwon FC 0.53 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.56 xG, a combined 2.08. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Jeonbuk Motors outscored their 1.56 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Gangwon FC attack 0.78 / defence 1.18 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.13 / defence 0.59, drawn from 50/50 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Gangwon FC 12% | Draw 26% | Jeonbuk Motors 62%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 62%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 62% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 33% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Gangwon FC 40%, Jeonbuk Motors 45%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Gangwon FC's trading profile (78 games, 39 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (78 games, 39 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Gangwon FC 1.31 PPG, Jeonbuk Motors 1.35 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Gangwon FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.56 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.18 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.10 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.31 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights