Most Likely Outcome
Gangwon FC Win
41%
2.43
32%
3.16
27%
3.67
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.9%
Home win
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.29
Gangwon FC xG
Total xG
2.30
1.01
Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
Gangwon FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC
2.43
41%
Home win
3.16
32%
Draw
3.67
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.92
Clean Sheet
36%
2.75
27%
3.64
Win to Nil
15%
6.69
7%
13.37
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.9 | 13.1 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.293
λ Away (xG)
1.011
Total xG
2.304
League avg home goals
1.021
League avg away goals
1.225
Gangwon FC attack strength
1.196
Gangwon FC defence strength
0.800
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength
1.033
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength
1.058
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50