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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Anyang cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Gangwon FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Anyang beat Gangwon FC 1-3 at Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Regular Season - 16, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Gangwon FC 1.09 xG and FC Anyang 0.91 xG, a combined 2.00. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. FC Anyang outscored their 0.91 projection by 2.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Gangwon FC attack 0.77 / defence 1.05 against FC Anyang attack 0.78 / defence 1.25, drawn from 48/16 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Gangwon FC 40% | Draw 31% | FC Anyang 30%, with Gangwon FC to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual FC Anyang win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 32%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 59% and landed. Over 3.5 was 14% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights