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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Gimcheon Sangmu FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over FC Anyang.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Gimcheon Sangmu FC beat FC Anyang 1-3 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 4, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.03 xG and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.30 xG, a combined 2.33. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC outscored their 1.30 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.86 / defence 1.15 against Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack 1.09 / defence 1.02, drawn from 3/36 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 29% | Draw 30% | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%, with Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win its most likely call at 41%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. Over 3.5 was 21% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights