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Pohang Steelers cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over FC Anyang.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Pohang Steelers beat FC Anyang 0-2 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 15, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.46 xG and Pohang Steelers 1.38 xG, a combined 2.84. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. FC Anyang fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 1.06 / defence 1.20 against Pohang Steelers attack 1.10 / defence 1.16, drawn from 15/47 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 39% | Draw 25% | Pohang Steelers 36%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual Pohang Steelers win had been the model's second-ranked read at 36%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.