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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ulsan Hyundai FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Daejeon Citizen.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ulsan Hyundai FC beat Daejeon Citizen 0-2 at Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 2, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Daejeon Citizen 1.22 xG and Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.11 xG, a combined 2.33. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Daejeon Citizen fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Ulsan Hyundai FC outscored their 1.11 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Daejeon Citizen attack 0.94 / defence 0.95 against Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.95 / defence 0.93, drawn from 34/34 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Daejeon Citizen 39% | Draw 28% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 33%, with Daejeon Citizen to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual Ulsan Hyundai FC win had been the model's second-ranked read at 33%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Daejeon Citizen 49%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Daejeon Citizen's trading profile (76 games, 38 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's trading profile (76 games, 38 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Ulsan Hyundai FC arrived the stronger side — 1.95 PPG against 1.30. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Daejeon Citizen (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.26 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.11 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Ulsan Hyundai FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights