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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jeonbuk Motors cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Daejeon Citizen.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Daejeon Citizen 0-2 at Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 7, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Daejeon Citizen 0.91 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 0.99 xG, a combined 1.91. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Daejeon Citizen fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Jeonbuk Motors outscored their 0.99 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Daejeon Citizen attack 0.89 / defence 0.99 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.91 / defence 0.94, drawn from 40/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Daejeon Citizen 32% | Draw 32% | Jeonbuk Motors 36%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 36%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 30%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 57% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Daejeon Citizen 49%, Jeonbuk Motors 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Daejeon Citizen's trading profile (76 games, 38 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (76 games, 38 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Daejeon Citizen 1.30 PPG, Jeonbuk Motors 1.37 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Daejeon Citizen (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.26 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.11 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.11 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights