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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Jeonbuk Motors run riot with a 0-4 hammering of Daegu FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Daegu FC 0-4 at DGB Daegu Bank Park, Regular Season - 16, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Daegu FC 0.74 xG and Jeonbuk Motors 1.12 xG, a combined 1.86. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Jeonbuk Motors outscored their 1.12 projection by 2.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Daegu FC attack 1.04 / defence 1.10 against Jeonbuk Motors attack 0.98 / defence 0.61, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Daegu FC 24% | Draw 31% | Jeonbuk Motors 45%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 45%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 29%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 55% and landed. Over 3.5 was 12% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 35% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Daegu FC 45%, Jeonbuk Motors 45%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Daegu FC's trading profile (78 games, 39 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (78 games, 39 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Daegu FC 1.23 PPG, Jeonbuk Motors 1.35 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeonbuk Motors win broke the near-deadlock. Daegu FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.13 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.10 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.31 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights