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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shock result as Bucheon FC 1995 defy the odds to beat Suwon City FC 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bucheon FC 1995 beat Suwon City FC 1-0 at Bucheon Stadium, Final, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bucheon FC 1995 1.59 xG and Suwon City FC 1.73 xG, a combined 3.32. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Suwon City FC landed 1.7 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bucheon FC 1995 attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Suwon City FC attack 1.23 / defence 1.24, drawn from 0/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bucheon FC 1995 35% | Draw 24% | Suwon City FC 41%, with Suwon City FC to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual Bucheon FC 1995 win had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights