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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:15

Venue

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al Riyadh Win

45%

Al Riyadh

2.21

30%

Draw

3.33

25%

Damac

4.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Al Riyadh xG

Total xG

2.00

0.80

Damac xG

45%
30%
25%
Al RiyadhDrawDamac

2.21

45%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

4.06

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.60

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

45%

Al Riyadh

2.22

30%

Damac

3.31

Win to Nil

20%

Al Riyadh

4.91

7%

Damac

13.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 10.9 4.3 1.2 0.2
1 16.3 13.0 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 9.7 7.8 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.196
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 1.995
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.323
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.760
Al Riyadh defence strength 0.825
Damac attack strength 0.732
Damac defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59