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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

16:55

Venue

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al Riyadh Win

39%

Al Riyadh

2.59

28%

Draw

3.57

33%

Al-Fateh

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Al Riyadh xG

Total xG

2.47

1.18

Al-Fateh xG

39%
28%
33%
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Fateh

2.59

39%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

31%

Al Riyadh

3.25

27%

Al-Fateh

3.64

Win to Nil

12%

Al Riyadh

8.42

9%

Al-Fateh

10.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.0 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.9 12.9 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.292
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.472
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.350
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.707
Al Riyadh defence strength 0.765
Al-Fateh attack strength 1.144
Al-Fateh defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62