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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Al Khaleej Saihat edge out Al-Raed 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Khaleej Saihat beat Al-Raed 1-2 at Al Raid Club Stadium, Regular Season - 26, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Raed 1.26 xG and Al Khaleej Saihat 1.50 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Raed attack 0.75 / defence 1.16 against Al Khaleej Saihat attack 0.99 / defence 1.14, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Raed 32% | Draw 25% | Al Khaleej Saihat 43%, with Al Khaleej Saihat to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Raed 56%, Al Khaleej Saihat 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Raed's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Al Khaleej Saihat's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al-Raed 0.93 PPG, Al Khaleej Saihat 1.14 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al Khaleej Saihat win broke the near-deadlock. Al Khaleej Saihat (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.10 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights