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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Al Khaleej Saihat edge out Al Orubah 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Khaleej Saihat beat Al Orubah 1-2 at Al-Jouf University Stadium, Regular Season - 32, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Orubah 1.22 xG and Al Khaleej Saihat 1.63 xG, a combined 2.85. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Orubah attack 0.70 / defence 1.29 against Al Khaleej Saihat attack 0.86 / defence 1.12, drawn from 31/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Orubah 29% | Draw 24% | Al Khaleej Saihat 47%, with Al Khaleej Saihat to win its most likely call at 47%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Orubah 58%, Al Khaleej Saihat 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Orubah's trading profile (31 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 32% of their matches — today it did.

Al Khaleej Saihat's trading profile (31 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al Orubah 0.97 PPG, Al Khaleej Saihat 1.10 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al Khaleej Saihat win broke the near-deadlock. Al Khaleej Saihat (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 1 against a 1.80 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights