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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Hilal Saudi FC run riot with a 0-5 hammering of Al Orubah.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Orubah 0-5 at Al-Jouf University Stadium, Regular Season - 14, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Orubah 0.80 xG and Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.97 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. Al-Hilal Saudi FC outscored their 1.97 projection by 3.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Orubah attack 0.61 / defence 1.06 against Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack 1.32 / defence 0.94, drawn from 13/47 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Orubah 14% | Draw 21% | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 65%, with Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win its most likely call at 65%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. Over 3.5 was 30% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 69% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Orubah 54%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Orubah's trading profile (13 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 31% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 46% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC's trading profile (13 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrived the stronger side — 2.62 PPG against 1.00. That form edge translated into the three points. Al Orubah (home/away splits) shipped 5 against a 1.20 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Hilal Saudi FC (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 2.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.60 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights