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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Thu 17 Sep 2026

18:00

Venue

King Saud University Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Nassr Win

66%

Al-Nassr

1.52

20%

Draw

5.05

14%

Al Diriyah

6.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

Al-Nassr xG

Total xG

3.22

0.97

Al Diriyah xG

66%
20%
14%
Al-NassrDrawAl Diriyah

1.52

66%

Home win

5.05

20%

Draw

6.98

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

38%

Al-Nassr

2.63

11%

Al Diriyah

9.50

Win to Nil

25%

Al-Nassr

3.99

2%

Al Diriyah

66.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.0 8.7 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.6 7.4 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 4.3 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.2
5 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.251
λ Away (xG) 0.966
Total xG 3.217
League avg home goals 1.589
League avg away goals 1.389
Al-Nassr attack strength 1.232
Al-Nassr defence strength 0.818
Al Diriyah attack strength 0.850
Al Diriyah defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0