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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Taawon cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Al Kholood.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Taawon beat Al Kholood 0-2 at Ar-Rass Stadium, Regular Season - 26, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Kholood 1.07 xG and Al Taawon 1.15 xG, a combined 2.21. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Al Kholood fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Al Taawon outscored their 1.15 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Kholood attack 0.96 / defence 1.08 against Al Taawon attack 0.81 / defence 0.73, drawn from 25/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Kholood 34% | Draw 29% | Al Taawon 38%, with Al Taawon to win its most likely call at 38%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Kholood 60%, Al Taawon 32%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Kholood's trading profile (25 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Taawon's trading profile (25 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al Kholood 1.24 PPG, Al Taawon 1.36 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al Taawon win broke the near-deadlock. Al Kholood (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.58 scoring average — below par going forward. Al Taawon (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.83 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.92 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights