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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Ittihad FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al Orubah.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al Orubah 2-0 at Al Inma Bank Stadium at King Abdullah Sport City, Regular Season - 27, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Ittihad FC 3.03 xG and Al Orubah 0.80 xG, a combined 3.83. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al-Ittihad FC fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Al Orubah landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Ittihad FC attack 1.45 / defence 0.92 against Al Orubah attack 0.66 / defence 1.45, drawn from 60/26 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Ittihad FC 82% | Draw 12% | Al Orubah 7%, with Al-Ittihad FC to win its most likely call at 82%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 74%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 90% and landed. Over 3.5 was 53% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Ittihad FC 65%, Al Orubah 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Ittihad FC's trading profile (26 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 77% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Orubah's trading profile (26 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 31% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 54% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ittihad FC arrived the stronger side — 2.38 PPG against 1.00. Form held, and they took the win. Al-Ittihad FC (home/away splits) managed 2 against a 2.92 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al Orubah (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.85 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights