🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Al-Hilal Saudi FC run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Al Khaleej Saihat.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Khaleej Saihat 3-0 at Kingdom Arena, Regular Season - 28, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.79 xG and Al Khaleej Saihat 1.42 xG, a combined 4.21. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Al Khaleej Saihat landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack 1.72 / defence 1.04 against Al Khaleej Saihat attack 1.03 / defence 1.14, drawn from 61/61 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Hilal Saudi FC 66% | Draw 17% | Al Khaleej Saihat 17%, with Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win its most likely call at 66%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 79%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 92% and landed. Over 3.5 was 61% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 71% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72%, Al Khaleej Saihat 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Hilal Saudi FC's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and duly kept one.

Al Khaleej Saihat's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrived the stronger side — 2.52 PPG against 1.15. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al-Hilal Saudi FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line. Al Khaleej Saihat (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.13 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.43 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights