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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Ettifaq cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Damac.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ettifaq beat Damac 2-0 at Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium, Regular Season - 21, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Ettifaq 1.69 xG and Damac 0.81 xG, a combined 2.50. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Damac landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Ettifaq attack 0.90 / defence 0.90 against Damac attack 0.66 / defence 1.30, drawn from 53/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Ettifaq 58% | Draw 24% | Damac 17%, with Al-Ettifaq to win its most likely call at 58%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Ettifaq 57%, Damac 49%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Ettifaq's trading profile (53 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Damac's trading profile (53 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ettifaq arrived the stronger side — 1.55 PPG against 0.89. That form edge translated into the three points. Al-Ettifaq (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.11 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.48 average — tighter than their form line. Damac (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights