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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Thu 15 Oct 2026

17:00

Venue

Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Al Diriyah Win

38%

Al Diriyah

2.63

25%

Draw

3.98

37%

Al Riyadh

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Al Diriyah xG

Total xG

3.10

1.54

Al Riyadh xG

38%
25%
37%
Al DiriyahDrawAl Riyadh

2.63

38%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

22%

Al Diriyah

4.65

21%

Al Riyadh

4.77

Win to Nil

8%

Al Diriyah

12.22

8%

Al Riyadh

12.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.9 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.0 10.8 8.3 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.5 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.9 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.563
λ Away (xG) 1.536
Total xG 3.099
League avg home goals 1.589
League avg away goals 1.389
Al Diriyah attack strength 0.850
Al Diriyah defence strength 1.150
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.962
Al Riyadh defence strength 1.157
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34