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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Gazprom Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

69%

Zenit

1.45

20%

Draw

5.07

11%

FC Orenburg

8.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

3 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.48

Zenit xG

Total xG

3.46

0.97

FC Orenburg xG

69%
20%
ZenitDrawFC Orenburg

1.45

69%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

8.80

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

38%

Zenit

2.65

8%

FC Orenburg

11.99

Win to Nil

26%

Zenit

3.84

1%

FC Orenburg

105.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.8 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 9.7 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 8.1 7.8 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.0 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.484
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 3.457
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 1.207
Zenit attack strength 1.297
Zenit defence strength 0.781
FC Orenburg attack strength 1.032
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.326
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39