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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Gazprom Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

73%

Zenit

1.36

21%

Draw

4.87

6%

Nizhny Novgorod

16.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

3 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Zenit xG

Total xG

2.79

0.57

Nizhny Novgorod xG

73%
21%
ZenitDrawNizhny Novgorod

1.36

73%

Home win

4.87

21%

Draw

16.37

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

57%

Zenit

1.77

11%

Nizhny Novgorod

9.22

Win to Nil

41%

Zenit

2.41

1%

Nizhny Novgorod

150.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.6 7.8 2.2 0.4 0.1
2 15.1 8.6 2.5 0.5 0.1
3 11.2 6.4 1.8 0.3
4 6.2 3.5 1.0 0.2
5 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.221
λ Away (xG) 0.570
Total xG 2.791
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.080
Zenit attack strength 1.209
Zenit defence strength 0.766
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.689
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56