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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

16:00

Venue

Gazprom Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

50%

Zenit

2.00

30%

Draw

3.33

20%

FC Rostov

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Zenit xG

Total xG

2.60

0.97

FC Rostov xG

50%
30%
20%
ZenitDrawFC Rostov

2.00

50%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

38%

Zenit

2.64

20%

FC Rostov

5.10

Win to Nil

19%

Zenit

5.28

4%

FC Rostov

25.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.1 11.7 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.6 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.3 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.629
λ Away (xG) 0.972
Total xG 2.601
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.072
Zenit attack strength 1.169
Zenit defence strength 0.868
FC Rostov attack strength 1.044
FC Rostov defence strength 0.935
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30