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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Zenit cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Akron.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Zenit beat Akron 2-0 at Gazprom Arena, Regular Season - 18, in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Zenit 1.67 xG and Akron 0.88 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Akron landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Zenit attack 1.34 / defence 0.81 against Akron attack 1.08 / defence 0.93, drawn from 47/47 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Zenit 54% | Draw 28% | Akron 18%, with Zenit to win its most likely call at 54%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Zenit 47%, Akron 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Zenit's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 53% of the time, and duly kept one.

Akron's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Zenit arrived the stronger side — 2.17 PPG against 1.19. Form held, and they took the win. Akron (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.22 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights