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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:45

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

37%

Spartak Moscow

2.73

32%

Draw

3.16

32%

Zenit

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.54

1.22

Zenit xG

37%
32%
32%
Spartak MoscowDrawZenit

2.73

37%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

30%

Spartak Moscow

3.38

27%

Zenit

3.75

Win to Nil

11%

Spartak Moscow

9.25

8%

Zenit

11.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.4 12.7 7.7 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.4 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.322
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 2.541
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 1.132
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.361
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.830
Zenit attack strength 1.298
Zenit defence strength 0.736
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50