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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

66%

Spartak Moscow

1.51

24%

Draw

4.17

10%

FC Orenburg

10.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.90

0.77

FC Orenburg xG

66%
24%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Orenburg

1.51

66%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

10.16

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

46%

Spartak Moscow

2.16

12%

FC Orenburg

8.41

Win to Nil

31%

Spartak Moscow

3.27

1%

FC Orenburg

85.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 9.0 3.5 0.9 0.2
2 12.5 9.6 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 8.8 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 4.7 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.130
λ Away (xG) 0.772
Total xG 2.902
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.203
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.355
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.880
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.730
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48