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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

17:45

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

41%

Spartak Moscow

2.43

26%

Draw

3.89

33%

FC Krasnodar

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.75

1.29

FC Krasnodar xG

41%
26%
33%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Krasnodar

2.43

41%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

28%

Spartak Moscow

3.62

23%

FC Krasnodar

4.31

Win to Nil

11%

Spartak Moscow

8.81

8%

FC Krasnodar

12.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.3 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.4 12.0 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.8 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.3 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 1.287
Total xG 2.747
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.077
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.279
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.047
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.141
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.805
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55