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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Wed 16 Sep 2026

16:00

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

59%

Spartak Moscow

1.70

22%

Draw

4.48

19%

Fakel

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.82

0.95

Fakel xG

59%
22%
19%
Spartak MoscowDrawFakel

1.70

59%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

39%

Spartak Moscow

2.59

15%

Fakel

6.47

Win to Nil

23%

Spartak Moscow

4.40

3%

Fakel

34.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 11.1 10.6 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.867
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 2.819
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 1.057
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.133
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.059
Fakel attack strength 0.850
Fakel defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 0