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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

18:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

56%

Spartak Moscow

1.80

29%

Draw

3.49

16%

Dinamo Makhachkala

6.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.77

0.94

Dinamo Makhachkala xG

56%
29%
16%
Spartak MoscowDrawDinamo Makhachkala

1.80

56%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

6.34

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

39%

Spartak Moscow

2.55

16%

Dinamo Makhachkala

6.29

Win to Nil

22%

Spartak Moscow

4.59

3%

Dinamo Makhachkala

39.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 11.5 10.7 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.839
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 2.775
League avg home goals 1.548
League avg away goals 1.056
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.197
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.979
Dinamo Makhachkala attack strength 0.905
Dinamo Makhachkala defence strength 0.992
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30