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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 9 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

51%

Spartak Moscow

1.96

27%

Draw

3.67

22%

Akron

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.31

0.85

Akron xG

51%
27%
22%
Spartak MoscowDrawAkron

1.96

51%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

43%

Spartak Moscow

2.34

23%

Akron

4.31

Win to Nil

22%

Spartak Moscow

4.57

5%

Akron

19.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 8.4 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 14.5 12.3 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 5.1 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 0.850
Total xG 2.310
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.047
Spartak Moscow attack strength 0.981
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.917
Akron attack strength 0.886
Akron defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49